Apr. 2nd, 2007

sarahmichigan: (Default)
"Confirmation Bias" is not, strictly speaking, one of the logical fallacies often listed in a logic class. It is, however, an example of sort of illogical thought-pattern or selective thinking.

If you only notice the anecdotal evidence that supports your theory but don't pay attention to incidents that disprove your theory about how something works, you're falling into the illogical trap of "confirmation bias." This is the sort of illogical thinking that makes people believe that people get crazier during the full moon or makes people remember their predictive dreams that "come true" while completely discounting the ten previous dreams that didn't "come true."


I find this phenomenon fascinating, because I notice that even highly-intelligent, highly-educated people who understand the scientific method clearly and are skeptical of other people's superstitious tendencies (and I include myself here) often fall into this trap.
sarahmichigan: (Default)
This year's Tiptree awards (examination of gender in sci-fi) are out:

[livejournal.com profile] dionysus1999, did you know the Geoff Ryman novel you just finished a little while ago was the 2005 winner?
sarahmichigan: (Default)
I was reading about these guys in a (not very positive) article in a women's health magazine recently:


Boy, way to hit most of my major buttons! Weight loss talk that says all fat people are gluttons! Conservative fundamentalist Christianity! Corporal punishment and/or physical abuse of children!

Ick, ick, ick...

As I've said to a few friends, eating is one of the few "vices" that fundies have left after you take away drugs, drinking, pre-marital sex, dancing, and gambling. Let the poor buggers have their food!

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